Real Jaén vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
RJA
64%
23%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
RJA
4 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
RJA
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MUR
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
BRU
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |