Real Jaén vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 3
RJA
32%
30%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 1
GRA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
RJA
32%
30%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RJA
2 - 0
REC
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BET
2 - 4
RJA
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
UCA
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JUM
0 - 4
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAD
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 2
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEV
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |