Real Jaén vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJA
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 0
RJA
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 0
RJA
24%
30%
46%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 2
RJA
23%
31%
46%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 0
BET
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 0
UCA
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CRD
1 - 0
UCA
26%
30%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UCA
3 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |