Real Jaén vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BET
0 - 0
RJA
26%
30%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RJA
5 - 0
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RJA
4 - 1
SEV
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 1
MEL
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
UCA
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
UCA
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
UCA
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UCA
5 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |