Real Jaén vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
GUA
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POR
0 - 3
RJA
23%
29%
49%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 4
RJA
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
G74
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 0
POL
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
UBC
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 0
CAD
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BET
2 - 3
UBC
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
UBC
1 - 0
ANT
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |