Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-3
Real Jaén vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1963 |
SEV
2 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CAD
2 - 1
RJA
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
PUL
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
CFC
3 - 1
RJA
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
GRA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1963 |
SEV
2 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 1
VCF
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 2
VAD
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ELC
8 - 1
SEV
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |