Real Jaén vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
MEL
2 - 0
RJA
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
UDE
0 - 1
RJA
71%
16%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
5 - 0
MER
92%
5%
3%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LCF
2 - 0
RJA
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
1 - 1
BET
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SDC
3 - 1
UDE
76%
13%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
MER
2 - 7
SDC
29%
22%
49%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SDC
5 - 0
LCF
75%
14%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BET
3 - 0
SDC
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SDC
2 - 0
SFE
79%
12%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |