Real Jaén vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CCF
0 - 0
RJA
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
UBE
2 - 3
RJA
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 2
CEL
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OSA
82%
12%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CAS
2 - 2
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
LPA
3 - 4
ZAR
24%
22%
54%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ZAR
0 - 0
GDE
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SAB
1 - 0
ZAR
30%
28%
41%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | -1 |