Real Jaén vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
RJA
0 - 0
MUR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
DEP
1 - 0
RJA
76%
18%
6%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1976 |
TER
2 - 2
RJA
71%
20%
9%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
RJA
1 - 0
GDE
54%
27%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
CFP
1 - 1
OVI
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
OVI
2 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
CDT
3 - 0
OVI
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1976 |
OVI
1 - 0
REC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
PUE
0 - 1
OVI
34%
28%
37%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |