Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
Real Jaén vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
AMA
1 - 0
RJA
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDB
61%
24%
15%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
SDM
1 - 0
RJA
56%
26%
18%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
3 - 2
RJA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAL
65%
23%
12%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
1 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
4 - 1
RAC
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
CUL
1 - 1
OVI
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
3 - 2
RJA
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
2 - 2
BUR
60%
25%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |