Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 1
RJA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 2
VIL
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
RJA
40%
29%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RJA
3 - 1
ALG
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 0
RJA
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
UCA
57%
27%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JUM
1 - 2
MUR
15%
26%
59%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
MAD
72%
20%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 3
MUR
19%
27%
55%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
SEV
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |