Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAB
3 - 0
RJA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
23%
28%
50%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
RJA
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
NUM
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RJA
3 - 1
GIR
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
9 - 0
OLI
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 22 | 45 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EIB
0 - 0
MUR
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
ALA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |