Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
57.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
20%
27%
54%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
ROQ
40%
31%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 0
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSK
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAD
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 3
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
HOF
0 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |