Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
REC
2 - 0
RJA
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
RJA
0 - 1
LEV
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
RJA
2 - 1
BET
19%
27%
55%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
GET
0 - 1
RJA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
RJA
0 - 2
SPO
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 3
EXT
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
CDT
1 - 0
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
MUR
3 - 1
ELC
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 1
ULP
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
CCF
1 - 3
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |