Real Jaén vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
RJA
1 - 0
BAL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
CDB
1 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
ADL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
68%
21%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
SEV
53%
26%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
IMP
4 - 0
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
BAL
2 - 0
IMP
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
IMP
4 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
CDB
3 - 1
IMP
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
IMP
2 - 0
MAL
50%
27%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |