Real Jaén vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
RJA
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
RJA
1 - 1
OSA
31%
30%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
LEV
2 - 0
RJA
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
RJA
0 - 0
ALA
31%
29%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
RAY
0 - 0
CDO
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
LLE
3 - 1
RAY
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
RAY
3 - 3
UDL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
RAY
0 - 1
EXT
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
EIB
0 - 1
RAY
36%
31%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |