Real Jaén vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
CAA
3 - 1
RJA
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
REC
0 - 1
RJA
45%
24%
30%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
RJA
3 - 1
CEU
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
RJA
2 - 1
EXT
72%
16%
11%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
RAY
1 - 0
CDB
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1960 |
VAL
1 - 3
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
RAY
2 - 1
CAD
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
CDT
3 - 0
RAY
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
RAY
4 - 0
CAA
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |