Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Real Jaén vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
RJA
4 - 1
SEV
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 3
RJA
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 2
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 1
ROQ
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
CDG
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACF
1 - 2
PON
13%
27%
60%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RUN
1 - 2
PON
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
RSO
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |