Real Jaén vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
TAL
2 - 1
RJA
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
RJA
2 - 1
GRA
53%
23%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
LEV
2 - 1
RJA
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PBL
1 - 0
XER
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
TAL
0 - 1
PBL
51%
28%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
PBL
1 - 1
ALC
57%
26%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
AGD
2 - 0
PBL
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
PBL
2 - 1
ORI
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |