Copa Federacion Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Real Jaén vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CDL
0 - 0
RJA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
48%
29%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
CDO
1 - 2
RJA
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
2 - 0
UBC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CDO
4 - 3
VER
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CDO
0 - 0
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
CDO
1 - 2
RJA
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CER
3 - 2
CDO
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CDO
4 - 0
NAR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |