Real Jaén vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RJA
3 - 1
GIR
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
RJA
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
4 - 2
RJA
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
4 - 2
RJA
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NUM
1 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 2
NUM
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
4 - 2
RJA
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
NUM
7%
17%
77%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |