Real Jaén vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
POL
0 - 2
RJA
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 0
SEV
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 0
BET
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
0 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
RJA
2 - 1
GRA
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
NOV
0 - 1
MAL
24%
28%
48%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOV
67%
21%
13%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
NOV
3 - 1
UDS
48%
27%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 0
NOV
48%
26%
27%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
NOV
1 - 0
XER
30%
29%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |