Real Jaén vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
GAN
3 - 0
RJA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDB
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 1
RJA
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALB
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
IMP
2 - 0
RJA
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
NOV
1 - 3
CFC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
ELD
3 - 0
NOV
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
NOV
3 - 0
BEN
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
TOM
2 - 1
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |