Real Jaén vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
10.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
FCA
2 - 0
RJA
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 0
GIM
66%
23%
11%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
FCB
1 - 0
RJA
56%
27%
17%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
RJA
3 - 0
SFE
70%
21%
9%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
POR
3 - 1
RJA
46%
31%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
MER
3 - 0
VAL
46%
31%
23%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
MER
1 - 2
FCA
42%
32%
27%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
GIM
3 - 0
MER
67%
23%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
MER
1 - 0
FCB
34%
33%
33%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SFE
3 - 0
MER
68%
22%
11%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |