Real Jaén vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
MEL
0 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
RJA
2 - 1
ORI
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
GAN
5 - 0
RJA
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
RJA
0 - 0
IMP
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
MER
0 - 2
BAL
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
CDB
0 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
MER
1 - 1
CDB
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
CPC
2 - 0
MER
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
MER
3 - 1
EXT
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |