Real Jaén vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.6%
Win probability
4.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.7%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.3%
2.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LCF
2 - 0
RJA
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
1 - 1
BET
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SFE
3 - 2
RJA
58%
19%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
3 - 1
REC
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
EME
1 - 0
RJA
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
MER
3 - 7
UDE
36%
22%
43%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
MEL
4 - 2
MER
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
LCF
6 - 1
MER
85%
9%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
MER
1 - 6
BET
35%
21%
44%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
SFE
7 - 0
MER
87%
8%
5%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |