Real Jaén vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
EME
1 - 3
RJA
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
LCF
3 - 2
RJA
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
RJA
3 - 1
LIN
79%
13%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
4 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
COR
1 - 2
RJA
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
MER
3 - 2
LIN
48%
22%
31%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
MER
3 - 3
TOM
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
CDB
4 - 0
MER
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
TAL
4 - 0
MER
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
MER
2 - 3
CDT
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |