Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
RJA
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 1
MAD
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ROD
0 - 0
RJA
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDE
62%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
RJA
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
MEL
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
MUR
37%
30%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |