Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
25.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CFB
0 - 0
RJA
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 1
MOR
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IMP
0 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
ROQ
54%
28%
19%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
RJA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 0
MEL
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
CIU
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
MEL
17%
26%
58%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
UES
3 - 1
MEL
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |