Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
RJA
0 - 0
ECI
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AGD
0 - 0
RJA
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
RJA
3 - 1
UBC
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
DBN
0 - 0
RJA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
RJA
3 - 0
MAR
37%
30%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
MEL
2 - 2
CDL
52%
27%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ECI
0 - 3
MEL
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOR
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
AGD
2 - 0
MEL
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALG
39%
31%
29%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |