Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
28.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
JER
2 - 1
RJA
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 1
MER
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CDB
1 - 0
RJA
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 1
LAN
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 0
VEC
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
JER
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MER
1 - 1
MEL
23%
30%
48%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MEL
4 - 0
CDB
37%
30%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 1
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |