Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
COR
1 - 2
RJA
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 2
ALG
77%
14%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
CAD
1 - 0
RJA
49%
22%
30%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
2 - 1
MAL
41%
23%
35%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
REC
2 - 3
RJA
59%
20%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
LIN
1 - 2
MEL
42%
22%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
MEL
4 - 1
COR
70%
16%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ALG
2 - 3
MEL
43%
22%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
MEL
4 - 2
CAD
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
MAL
5 - 2
MEL
81%
12%
8%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |