Real Jaén vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.1%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
VIL
1 - 3
RJA
14%
24%
62%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
RJA
0 - 0
EST
89%
9%
3%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
ZUB
4 - 2
RJA
16%
24%
60%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
RJA
1 - 2
BEN
92%
7%
1%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
UBE
2 - 1
RJA
12%
23%
64%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
MMA
2 - 1
MIJ
38%
27%
34%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
MAL
6 - 0
MMA
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MMA
4 - 4
AMA
16%
26%
59%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
UDS
5 - 0
MMA
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
MMA
1 - 1
ANT
28%
27%
45%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |