Real Jaén vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
RJA
36%
31%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 0
PAL
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
RJA
36%
30%
34%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 2
SRQ
75%
18%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SEV
0 - 0
RJA
27%
30%
44%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
BET
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAD
3 - 0
LUC
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CRD
1 - 0
LUC
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |