Real Jaén vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
30%
31%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 2
RJA
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAU
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 0
UCA
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
LUC
30%
28%
41%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
5 - 0
ARR
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 1
SDL
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |