Real Jaén vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ECI
0 - 0
RJA
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AGD
3 - 1
RJA
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RJA
0 - 0
POL
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BET
2 - 0
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
CAD
14%
22%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ROQ
3 - 0
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 2
SEV
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PUE
3 - 1
LUC
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 1
JUM
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |