Real Jaén vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 0
RJA
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 2
RJA
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RJA
4 - 0
EST
52%
28%
21%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
CFB
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ROQ
2 - 1
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
POL
17%
26%
57%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |