Real Jaén vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
SFE
1 - 1
RJA
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
RJA
0 - 2
ALB
62%
25%
13%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PUE
0 - 1
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
RJA
1 - 0
PBL
64%
24%
12%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
47%
29%
25%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
ALB
1 - 0
LOR
47%
31%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
LOR
2 - 0
PBL
74%
19%
8%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
CDB
1 - 0
LOR
55%
28%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
LOR
3 - 0
CDF
87%
10%
4%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ANT
0 - 0
LOR
54%
28%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |