Real Jaén vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
AGD
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAD
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 2
GRA
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 1
POL
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 2
EST
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
YEC
1 - 2
LOR
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 1
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |