Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 7-2
Real Jaén vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 2
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
23%
29%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
CAD
22%
28%
50%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BET
1 - 2
RJA
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 2
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
LEG
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LEG
1 - 1
LPA
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATB
0 - 0
LEG
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 0
LEG
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |