Real Jaén vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
BET
4 - 1
RJA
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
RJA
7 - 0
ALG
76%
14%
11%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
EST
3 - 2
RJA
58%
20%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
RJA
6 - 1
GRA
80%
12%
8%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
CAD
1 - 1
RJA
62%
19%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
LCF
0 - 1
MAG
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
XER
4 - 0
LCF
83%
10%
7%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
LCF
1 - 2
MAL
54%
20%
25%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
UTR
2 - 0
LCF
59%
18%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
LCF
1 - 1
REC
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |