Real Jaén vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
LIN
2 - 0
RJA
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 2
COR
71%
16%
13%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ALG
0 - 1
RJA
52%
21%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
RJA
4 - 0
CAD
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
LCF
3 - 1
MEL
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
COR
3 - 1
LCF
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
LCF
3 - 1
ALG
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
CAD
2 - 1
LCF
81%
12%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
LCF
0 - 0
MAL
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |