Real Jaén vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
SEV
39%
30%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 4
RJA
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 2
CDL
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 2
EXT
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
JER
1 - 1
ECI
40%
30%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AGD
3 - 0
JER
49%
28%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
JER
0 - 1
UBC
37%
30%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
JER
37%
28%
34%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
JER
0 - 0
AGD
39%
30%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |