Real Jaén vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
0 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
ALM
0 - 0
RJA
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
SEV
2 - 0
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
0 - 0
BET
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 1
SEV
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1998 |
JER
2 - 1
REC
37%
29%
34%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
JER
1 - 1
ALM
32%
29%
38%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
BET
1 - 4
JER
68%
20%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
RAY
1 - 2
JER
82%
13%
6%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
JER
0 - 1
XER
26%
28%
45%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |