Real Jaén vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 1
ROD
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 0
RJA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 2
MAN
75%
18%
8%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRD
1 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOR
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 3
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 1
LOR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
MEL
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |