Real Jaén vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 0
RJA
27%
31%
42%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
GRA
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
17%
30%
53%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 1
ROD
75%
18%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
5 - 0
ARR
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 2
BET
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 0
LOR
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRD
2 - 1
LOR
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |