Real Jaén vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
MLL
3 - 1
RJA
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
CAD
2 - 2
RJA
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
RJA
4 - 0
EUR
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 2
LEV
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
HER
3 - 0
MLL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
HER
1 - 1
DEP
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
HER
2 - 1
CAD
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |