Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Real Jaén vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ROQ
0 - 1
RJA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
ECI
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
RJA
67%
21%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
MAR
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CDL
1 - 1
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
GRA
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 2
UBC
48%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 1
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |