Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Real Jaén vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
77%
15%
7%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
RON
1 - 2
RJA
27%
29%
44%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
RJA
1 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
NER
2 - 0
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
RJA
1 - 1
POL
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
77%
15%
7%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
SAN
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
AGD
2 - 2
GRA
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
GRA
0 - 0
CDT
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
LPA
0 - 0
GRA
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |