Real Jaén vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
SEV
2 - 1
RJA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
RJA
3 - 2
AMA
50%
28%
23%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
RJA
5 - 1
TEL
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
ALB
2 - 0
RJA
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
RJA
1 - 2
MER
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALB
44%
29%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
MER
2 - 0
GRA
33%
30%
37%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
63%
24%
13%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
TOM
0 - 0
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
GRA
3 - 1
CDT
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |